S&P warns US of further downgrade
Monday August 08, 2011 08:45:57 AM,
Arun Kumar, IANS
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Washington:
Two days after its historic downgrade of America's top notch AAA
credit rating, a top executive of Standard & Poor's warned that
continued political gridlock in Washington could contribute to
another reduction.
"If the fiscal position of the United States deteriorates further,
or if the political gridlock becomes more entrenched, then that
could lead to a downgrade," S&P managing director John Chambers
said on ABC Sunday.
Chambers gave the prospect a one-in-three chance. He also pushed
back on claims by the White House that the first-ever credit
downgrade was the result of faulty analysis by the ratings agency.
"We have been saying for some time that the fiscal trajectory of
the United States was on a bad path and that the political
gridlock in Washington leads us to conclude that policymakers
don't have the ability to proactively put the public finances of
the United States on a sustainable footing," Chambers said.
The S&P head of sovereign ratings also said that it could take
years for the US to return from downgraded AA+ to the top rank AAA
status.
"Well, if history is a guide, it could take a while," Chambers
said. "We've had five governments that lost their AAA that got it
back. The amount of time that it took for those five range from
nine years to 18 years, so it takes a while."
The agency's concerns "are centred on the political side and on
the fiscal side," he said.
"So it would take a stabilisation of the debt as a share of the
economy and eventual decline," Chambers said. "And it would take,
I think, more ability to reach consensus in Washington than what
we're observing now."
(Arun Kumar can be contacted at arun.kumar@ians.in)
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