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After elections come predictions, Congress has an edge: Exit polls

Wednesday, October 14, 2009 10:57:49 AM, IANS

Elections in Maharashtra, Haryana and Arunachal Pradesh were held on October 13. While Maharashtra recorded 60% voting, Haryana and Arunachal Pradesh recorded 68% and 72% voter turnout respectively.


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New Delhi: If the assembly elections in the three states Tuesday were seen as the first major popularity test since the Lok Sabha polls, the Congress is set to consolidate its top position, going by the early projections made by IBN-Lokmat and Star News-Nielson.


The Congress-Nationalist Congress Party (NCP) alliance is likely to win in Maharashtra, according to IBN-Lokmat Times projections.


According to these projections, the ruling Congress-NCP alliance will win 135 to 145 seats in the 288-member assembly with the Congress garnering 75-85 seats and the NCP 55-65 seats.


The projections gave 105-115 seats to the Shiv Sena-Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) coalition with 45-55 seats to the BJP and 55-65 seats to the Shiv Sena.


Star News-Nielson, on the other hand, predicted the Congress will win 89 seats and NCP 48 - thus the two together claiming 137 seats and falling short of the clear majority mark of 145.


According to the Star News-Nielson exit poll, the Shiv Sena and BJP will get only 62 and 51 seats respectively, making the Maharashtra Navnirman Sena (MNS) a kingmaker with 12 seats.


In the 2004 assembly polls, the NCP and the Congress won 71 and 69 seats respectively. The Shiv Sena was on top in 62 constituencies while the BJP bagged 52 seats.


For Haryana, where Bhupinder Singh Hooda of the Congress is looking to return to power, the Star News-Nielson exit poll predicted the ruling party will win 57 of the 90 seats, while the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) will win 18.


After counting of votes, election results will be declared Oct 22.
























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