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Latest surveys predict photo finish between Congress, BJP in Karnataka 2018 election

Tuesday April 24, 2018 0:01 AM, News Network

Karnataka Pre Poll Survey

Bengaluru: Two opinion polls released on Monday - one by Times Now-VMR survey and other by ABP-CSDS, predicted a photo finish between the ruling Congress party and the BJP in Karnataka 2018 Assembly elections.

The surveys have also predicted the Janata Dal (Secular) to be kingmaker saying neither BJP nor the Congress will be in a position to form the government without the former's support.

"While the ruling Congress is likely to win 91 seats, the opposition BJP is projected to bag 89 seats. The JD(S)-BSP will win 40 seats while Others will manage four, as per the survey", the Times Now-VMR survey released on Monday said.

According to the ABP-CSDS survey, the Congress will improve its vote share to 37% but still finish second with 85-91 seats. The BJP, united after the split in the 2013 elections, will also improve its vote share to 35% and become the largest party in the assembly with a projected tally of 89-95 seats, the survey said. According to this survey, the JD(S) is projected to get 32-38 seats.

Karnataka, which has a total of 224 members, is scheduled to go to poll on May 12. The counting of vote will be done on May 15 and the result will also be declared on the same day.

Earlier, a pre-poll survey by India Today-Karvy conducted exactly a month before the 2018 state election in Karnataka had showed that the vote share difference between the ruling Congress and the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) is just 02 percent.

The India Today-Karvy opinion polls said that 38% of the respondents rated Siddaramaiah's performance as good. Of the total respondents, 29% have also rated his performance as poor. Getting into the details of findings of the poll, 28% have rated Siddramaiah's performance as good while 10% have rated him as very good.

The poll has also predicted that Siddaramaiah is the top choice of the respondents for the CM's post with 33% rating him as the best. On the other hand, BJP's Yeddyurappa is at second place with 26% respondents voting for him. The JD (S)'s HD Kumaraswamy has emerged third best choice for CM with 21% respondents voting for him.

For 46 per cent of people in Karantaka, their lives over the last five years of Congress rule have remained the same. On the other hand 30 per cent believe that their lives have become better while only 19 per cent say that their lives have become worse, the survey said.

However, the survey predicted that the Congress will not be able to reach half-way mark of 113 needed to retain power in Karnataka and will end with 90-101 seats. The survey predicted the Bhartiya Janata Party (BJP) winning 78-86 seats whereas it gave Janata Dal (S) 34-43 seats.

Others who include Arvind Kejriwals’ Aam Aadmi Party (AAP), Mahila Empowerment Party (MEP) of Dr Nowhera Shaikh, SDPI and other smaller parties could win just 4-7 seats, the pre poll survey by India’s leading media house said.

Asaduddin Owaisi’s All India Majlise-e-Ittehadul Muslimeen (AIMIM) had in the last week announced that it will not contest the Karnataka Assembly 2018 elections.

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